Monday 26 May 2014

Singaporeans First & UKIP: Compare & Contrast

Hello everyone, I hope you have all had a lovely weekend. I'm sure most of you would have heard the very interesting news about the new political party formed in Singapore - 'Singaporeans First'. A Singaporean friend has compared them to UKIP and I didn't think it was a fair comparison but since we've just had our local and European elections here in England, it is a pretty good time for me to talk to you about UKIP since many of my Singaporean readers may not be familiar with them as a political party. Then I will point out how the two parties are extremely different indeed.
Since Singaporeans First (which I shall abbreviate to SF in this article) is a brand new entity, it is probably way too early to pass any kind of judgment on it at this stage. I do feel however, that they did not really hit the nail on the head at their party's unveiling - they danced around issues like GST, education, unemployment, healthcare and pensions when really, with a name like that, people were expecting a UKIP-style approach. They were waiting for them to say the words, "Singaporeans First, PRCs Second, close the gates, no more PRCs, enough PRCs already. We don't want anymore PRCs in Singapore. We don't like PRCs, we don't need PRCs, in fact we want to kick out the PRCs who are already here. We know you hate those PRCs in Singapore. Vote for us and we'll get rid of the PRCs."

But no, the words never came. Was any talk of that censored by the government-controlled media? Or was this an act of Singaporean-style self-censorship - did Tan Jee Say and his team feel that such an approach would be just too controversial? Were they afraid of being seen as xenophobic by the PAP or the media and be labeled as toxic even at their launch? Either way, it never came. It was a let down - it was like ordering a plate of Ohr Luat and digging through mounds of fried egg, potato starch dough, chilli sauce, spring onions and coriander but not finding a single oyster in there. Where's the Ohr in the Ohr Luat? UKIP on the other hand, are vehemently anti-immigration and anti-foreigners. No surprises there, it does what it says on the tin - at least you can't accuse them of being dishonest about it.
Ohr Luat - a Singaporean favourite snack

Is this a good thing? Let's compare this with the situation in the UK - UKIP is pretty much seen as a single-issue party: they are focused on anti-immigration, anti-foreigners and anti-migrants. As the UK is a part of the European Union, Eastern Europeans from poorer EU countries like Poland, Estonia, Lithuania, Hungary, Slovenia, Slovakia, Bulgaria and Romania have free access to the UK labour market. They don't need a work permit, they don't need a visa, they can just turn up here in the UK and start looking for work. So UKIP is campaigning on getting the UK out of the EU as a first step to then increase border controls, to prevent Eastern Europeans from gaining free access to UK's labour market. They want to re-instate work permits for those Eastern Europeans coming to seek work in the UK in order to stem the number of economic migrants from poorer European countries.

You would recoil in horror when you have a look at UKIP's other policies on issues like healthcare, education, law & order or anything at all - they have no clue what the hell they are doing. Take something like healthcare for example (as it is an issue that affects everyone) - UKIP wants to dismantle the National Health Service (NHS) and privatize it, a move that will leave millions of poorer, working-class British people unable to afford the most basic healthcare. What about taxes? Everyone pays taxes right? Well, UKIP wants to introduce a flat rate of tax, so that billionaire bankers will be paying the same level of tax as a primary school teacher, a nurse in a hospital and a cleaner in MacDonald's. Their policies are so utterly ridiculous - but do you know what is even more horrific than UKIP's policies?
What do you think of UKIP's policies?

UKIP voters horrify me even more than UKIP's policies. Such is the problem with democracy - everyone gets a vote whether you're a highly educated intellectual or an illiterate, xenophobic, homophobic racist. My vote doesn't count any more than anyone else's just because I am a well-educated, rational intellectual. This is why UKIP has had a major breakthrough in the 2014 local elections, increasing their number of local council seats from 2 to 163 - exceeding even their own targets. They are also on course to win the European elections (for MEPs) after having campaigned on a strongly anti-EU, anti-immigration platform. This can be put down to one key factor: many voters are "single-issue voters" - their decision is motivated by their stance on only one issue and they will ignore all other factors. So even if they do disagree with UKIP on their stance on healthcare and taxation, they will still vote for UKIP if they are only motivated by their stance on the EU and migration.

Voters like myself look at the big picture - I take the time and effort to consider a whole range of issues that do affect me. In contrast, there are many people who simply do not bother to consider the big picture because that takes too much time and effort, these are political apathetic people who normally take very little interest in politics.  Political parties like UKIP thrive on single-issue voters and they don't mind being perceived as single-issues parties because there are enough single-issue voters to get them some decent results (as proven in the 2014 local elections).
Single-issue voters base their decisions on just one issue and ignore everything else.

Yes there are problems with the British economy, we are still emerging from a long and deep recession as is much of the rest of the world. But blaming it on immigrants, treating Eastern Europeans as the scapegoats is not going to solve any of the problems facing the British economy. However, there are some really ignorant British people who actually do believe that Eastern European migrants are taking the jobs of jobless British people and somehow, everything would be magically solved the moment you expel the Eastern Europeans from the UK. They ignore the fact that these Eastern Europeans often do the jobs that British people don't want to do or are not qualified to do and it is an overly simplistic solution to what is a very complex problem.

The fact that UKIP is basically a one-issue party does limit its appeal to one-issue voters and they may also attract a few protest votes - but their long-term appeal is limited. So turning back to SF in Singapore, perhaps it is good news that they are getting off on the right foot by demonstrating clearly that they are not a one-issue party. This means that they could potentially have a wide enough appeal so they will not be consigned to a fringe opposition party, attracting only protest votes and one-issue voters. That is certainly a good start.  However, without going down the obvious anti-immigration path as their name suggests, I fear they risk being too bland and boring - they really need to establish a brand identity to differentiate them from other opposition parties and most of all, from the PAP.
Why isn't SF addressing the issue that we expect them to talk about?

In the UK (and certainly in other European countries as well as in America), far more money is spent on PR in politics - in the UK, we have coined the term 'spin doctor' as someone who handles PR in politics. To get a taste of what spin doctors do, I recommend the 'The Thick Of It' (a successful TV series about politics at Westminster) as well as the full-length feature film 'In The Loop' (the spin off from 'The Thick Of It'). For the American version, do check out the hilarious 'Veep' as well as 'House Of Cards'. Both the UK and US are light years ahead of Singapore when it comes to political PR. To begin with, Singaporeans politicians often suck at public speaking and have no fashion sense whatsoever (as evident from SP's launch event - oh dear.) So they look bad and they sound wrong - well we're off to a great start here, aren't we? Someone please reach for the marketing 101 manual please.

I'm sorry if this makes me sound shallow and judgmental but just look at the photo on the Yahoo website - Tan Jee Say (a former presidential candidate) does not even look 'presidential' in that photo. He looks more like a taxi driver as do the other two men on the same table with him. Now whilst I cannot find any videos from this most recent SF launch event, I have found other archive videos of Tan Jee Say on Youtube and I was disappointed. Tan was educated at Oxford, he is undoubtedly very smart, thus I had expected him to have a much better grasp of the English language but that was clearly not the case. Perhaps I am judging the whole situation through very British eyes so if Singaporeans really don't care if their politicians dress or speak well, then that really isn't a factor in Singaporean politics.
Why can't Singaporean politicians understand the power of good PR?

This was clearly evident in the YPAP's recent video gaffe. The fact that the PAP can actually defend such a video after it was lampooned widely online it has received online clearly demonstrates that the PAP does not understand PR in politics. The video was so bloody awful it was hilarious - it was so robotic that some people actually thought it was a spoof. Heck, you only have to look at someone like Seng Han Thong to look at the PAP's record on the issue. He looks like a taxi driver, dresses like a taxi driver and speaks worse English than a taxi driver - he is best remembered for his SMRT racist gaffe. Yet he is still a PAP politician today and none of these problems seem to have plagued his political career. Clearly, the PAP doesn't feel the need to bother with PR because they know that they will always been in power and therein lies the problem. They can afford to behave like a bull in a china shop when it comes to PR.

Let me compare this with the situation in the UK - the moment a politician makes a gaffe in the UK, the stand up comedians will be rushing to make fun of him/her on prime time TV within hours. The political journalists and bloggers would be free to criticize, chastise, mock, condemn, attack, lambaste and pour scorn on this politician - so yes, there is a price to be paid for saying something wrong: the media will not spare you. Such is the kind of freedom of speech we have in the UK - even the prime minister and the Queen are not spared. In Singapore, the situation is quite different. The government controls the media and the ST will never express an anti-PAP sentiment. And if some blogger like Roy Ngerng dares to become too vocal about the prime minister, then there will be severe consequences for Mr Ngerng.  So if you can control public opinion like that, what do you need PR for then? This is a uniquely Singaporean situation.
So whilst the British prime minister has to watch what he says to avoid the wrath of public opinion and judgement by the media, the Singaporean prime minister simply controls the media and attacks people like Roy Ngerng to scare his other critics into silence in a 杀一儆百 approach. Whilst I do feel sorry for Roy Ngerng, this episode simply reminds me how much it must suck to live without the freedom of speech in Singapore. I think many Singaporeans do not realize just how different the political system here in the UK is!

British politics can be a lot more volatile - with power being passed back and forth between the Tories and the Labour parties and most recently, we have seen smaller parties like the Liberal Democrats when neither of the two main parties have a big enough majority to form a government. It looks like the 2015 election may be heading to a similar kind of result, with either the Tory or the Labour government having to form another coalition to form the next government. So we can expect the PR machines of all the political parties to go into overdrive in the next 12 months and perhaps I am so used to being wooed by every political party in the UK for my vote, thus that is why I look at the Singaporean approach to PR in politics and immediately cringe. The Singaporean government does not understand the basic principles of PR at all - why are they not spending more money on hiring the best PR consultants?
Will SF become a credible force in Singaporean politics? I think that depends on a few crucial factors. Firstly, a party is only as good as the people who run it. UKIP's main problem is that it has attracted too many extremists (homophobic, xenophobic, racists etc) who have jumped on their anti-immigration bandwagon - this has hurt UKIP's chances of becoming a more credible political party because of these nutcases have discredited UKIP on many occasions. Indeed, UKIP has been forced to expel some of these nutcases who have only brought embarrassment to the party - such as the nutcase who blamed the bad weather on gays. It is way too early for me to judge SF's credibility at this stage, but I will be very interested to see if they are able to attract the right kind of talent to their party. Their challenge is that there are so many other talented people already involved in the opposition movement - SF will either have to poach these talents from other parties (not easy) or find new talents who are not already involved in politics (not easy either - as those talented people who wish to be involved in opposition politics are probably already involved with another opposition party). Will they be scrapping the bottom of the barrel the way UKIP has for talent to join their party?

Secondly, this is just my opinion but I think that there is an opportunity for them to stir things up in Singaporean politics because of this shocking lack of PR-savvy politicians in Singapore. It's not rocket science people, we're not reinventing the wheel here. If you're in a market place where nobody is bothering to use any kind of PR when it comes to selling their product, the first seller to come up with a good PR strategy will be able to gain significant market share with little effort as none of the other sellers are bothering with any kind of PR. Right now, that opportunity is staring at them in the face - whether or not they are smart enough to act on it is questionable. I am simply treating politics the same way I treat any business proposition - it doesn't matter just how amazing your product is, if you don't have a good marketing & PR campaign, then nobody is going to know how great your product is and want to buy it.
Behold the power of good PR...

Finally, will they simply dilute the opposition vote, making it easier for the PAP to win in the long run? Possibly - the various opposition parties really need to stand together to present a united front to fight a common enemy, rather than compete amongst themselves for the opposition votes. Right now, I see the problem with SF is the lack of a distinct image. What is their unique selling point (USP)? What makes them different from other opposition parties and the PAP? They have a good name (that's always a good start) but can they follow through with clear strategies to win the hearts and minds of voters in Singapore? Will they dare to go for the anti-immigration vote and risk being labelled xenophobic? Hey, it worked for UKIP and they don't give a hoot about being labelled racist or xenophobic.

That remains to be seen - I certainly will be watching this space to see if they will be stirring things up in Singaporean politics. Right now, I fear they will be too bland and boring to capture the public's imagination, but I hope I am proven wrong. All they need to do is to hire a good PR consultant, a spin doctor who can help them build their image. So what do you make of SF? Are you prepared to give them a chance or are you already disappointed in them? How do you rate their chances of success in Singapore? Will they be the anti-immigration party? Would Tan Jee Say make a good leader for SF? Please do let me know your thoughts in the comments section below. Thank you very much for reading.

15 comments:

  1. I think it's not about image or whatever. It's about whether a party is ready to be govt by contesting 100% seats in an election.

    60% Sinkie voters will never vote for a party which is not ready to be govt, and hence did not contest 100% seats. They believe, and I think quite rightly, that such party or parties (coalition) being voted in will screw all Sinkies even harder than what PAP is screwing daft Sinkies now.

    And I think SF will not be able to contest 100% seats. So majority voters will treat them just as another opposition party, destined to lose 100% of seats contested.

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    1. Hi David, this is why I say it would be a bold move if they did dare to go for the far-right vote and go down the anti-immigration path. Look at the way Anton Casey was hounded out of Singapore - there is an appetite for an anti-immigration party. But they are not going down that path even with a name like that?

      Missed opportunity, that's for sure.

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  2. The problem with opposition parties in Singapore is that they are not united. Still remember the mass exodus of RP members to NSP? Then we have politicians that keep party hopping. Tan Jee Say used to be under SDP and now left to be the chairman of this newly formed SP. Goh Meng Seng used to be from WP, then joined NSP as its secretary general and left the NSP after ge2011. Benjamin Pwee used to under PAP, then left and stand under SPP banner for ge2011 and then left to join DPP also as its secretary general. It seems that prominent opposition politicians wants to be Indian chiefs but don't want to be Indian followers.

    In my view, there are only 2 opposition parties worth mentioning. WP and SDP. Both of them have very clear ideological positions. WP wants to be a check on the government and because their ideological position so close to the PAP, they will appeal to conservative voters who might otherwise vote PAP. SDP wants a form of liberal democracy and emphasis on human rights that is the hallmark in many western countries. If WP stands for my constituent in the next ge., I will most likely vote for them. If gilbert goh comes and compete again, I think I might spoil my vote.

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    1. Yes, I do agree with everything you said. The opposition parties are way too disunited to take on the PAP in their current state.

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  3. His determination is undoubted but TJS will just split the opposition vote just like how he cost TCB the presidency
    I loved watching House of Cards, our politicians have so much to learn about politics. And omg if u were Xander Feng that would have been freaking awesome.

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    1. I agree Alfred - I had read a number of articles on today's Singapore Daily http://singaporedaily.net/2014/05/26/daily-sg-26-may-2014/ on TJS and nobody seems convinced on him. Nobody is heralding the arrival of SF with joy and excitement, the best people are willing to do are to say, "it's a new entity, let's wait and see and not rush to judgement..."

      Hahahaha, yes I did audition for the role of Xander Feng - it was an honour to be even considered for it. It would have been life-changing had I got the role, but it just confirmed to me that I am not wasting my time pursuing my dreams in showbiz. At least I am in the running for big roles and to lose out to Terry Chen, well, hats off to him - he's so successful, he's a deserving actor for the role.

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  4. It is Ohr Luar, not Ohr Luat.

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    1. It's neither to be honest. Hokkien cannot be easily transliterated into English. It can be clumsy to try to capture the sounds of an Asian language into English. I am currently studying Korean as well as there are so many Korean consonant sounds that have no English equivalent at all.

      It is hard to transliterate Hokkien into English - I know they have a system in Taiwan known as Peh Oe Ji http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pe%CC%8Dh-%C5%8De-j%C4%AB but I don't know how to use it as I have never studied Hokkien that way - it was just a language we spoke at home in Singapore.

      Think about the word in Hokkien for 'to eat' - 吃 - do you transliterate that as Jiar, Jiat or Jiak? None of these in English accurately captures the last syllable which is neither a T or a K but more like a cross between the two and it is truncated consonant sound as well, but it is definitely there. So I wouldn't use Jiar to transliterate it as the R in English is just wrong. Hence the challenge in trying to transliterate Hokkien words into English - the limits of the English consonant sounds just cannot capture the sounds of Hokkien.

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  5. Hi LIFT, allow me to give my two cents worth as a graphic design student.

    Like you said, marketing is important and they need a strong brand. I think SF has a good start by coming up with a good name (like what you've said) and a good logo. So far I think they have the best logo among all the political parties in Singapore (including PAP). Can't wait to see how they'll use their stylish and simple logo in the future campaigns.

    Will check out what they campaign for later.

    Cheers,
    Amber

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    1. Hi Amber, thanks for your reply.

      Let's continue this analysis on the marketing aspect: let's compare it to an ice cream product. Yes the packaging is important, people need to spot it in the supermarket shelves when they are shopping and it needs to look appealing. Hence the logo and name are both important - but we need to go further than that. What kind of message are you sending to the shopper about the taste of the ice cream? Who is your target audience for this ice cream - health conscious? Hip and funky young people? People after traditional flavours or something exotic? People on a budget or people seeking a luxury ice cream brand?

      You see, I was scrambling around to try to find something good to say about SF (as I didn't want it to be all negative), so I picked out 2 things. They have a good name and they're not a single issue party. I'm not that bothered about the logo (I don't think it's good or bad, it's okay) per se. And after that, it was downhill all the way ...

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  6. Their logo is hilarious! It reminded me of Wall's Ice-cream, I hope they'll give out ice-cream on their political campaign. Anyway, I think they've already failed. I went to their Facebook page...there was no photos of the members, no description...just some text pictures with their ideas for policy.

    https://www.facebook.com/singaporeansfirstparty

    I don't see any young people in the photo as well, you know, as a youth in Singapore, I feel neglected by my MPs...every single community event they organised is either targeted at 40s+ people or children. The closest thing they [the PAP] organised in order to appeal to the youths was the foam party during the Tampines countdown event.

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    1. Well, if victory for the PAP is a foregone conclusion (given how disunited and disorganized the opposition is), then they don't need to try very hard at all and can get away with poor PR efforts.

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  7. I hate to say this, but even the WP and SDP which have clearly articulated ideologies as political parties just seem to be unprepared for the idea of becoming the next majority party to govern Singapore. Whatever their ideologies or vision, as long as they do not find themselves ready to govern Singapore, should that day ever come at all, Singaporeans will not find the confidence to vote them in en masse. We are talking about a nation of daft people (in the majority) who just want to keep the status quo if possible, and not have life screwed up by uncertainties and the fear of the unknown. The same principle applies for the election of the President back in 2011 then. Why did Singaporeans go for someone who is related to the Lee family (and by default, might not be the independent candidate he claims to be), has a clear endorsement by the ruling party, and is likely to continue to help keep mum about not demanding anything concerning national reserves and their status? It is simply because they fear having 'secrets outed', and the truth is never really a pleasant surprise at times. You even have the WP stating upfront in 2011--during the short time that I was there--that they were NOT READY to govern Singapore in 2011 as the ruling party. As long as this stand continues, the PAP will continue to be the ruling party, and we can also forget about the idea of WP even having a large minority in parliament at all.

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    1. While I agree with everything you stated, I think the fact that the ruling party continue to garner so much of the votes come down to one thing---patronage. The people in the ruling party are people who knows some other people that can give them the experience of what it really takes to govern a country whereas the more organised WP/SDP do not have this advantage or at least not on the scale that PAP/Young PAP/high ranking officials from the army etc have.
      I think this problem is not all that unlike the problem of why Singapore still need so many expatriates simply because Singaporeans can't do the job beyond a certain level. I remember limped writing about it with regards to the Singapore bank CEO or something like that....

      Twenty tree

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  8. I read the Singaporeans First Party manifesto. Having read Tan's policy paper on 2011, I found that his policy ideas were sound and viable. The founding members of the party are also credible and were formerly of the establishment, lending it an air of legitimacy to the new venture.

    But I can't help but to find problems with the SFP. I don't doubt that they have nothing but the best of intentions, but they should have put more thought into the name and logo of the party. While policies are important, as unfortunate as it is, perception is nearly everything in politics. First, why the name? Parties bearing similar names in Australia, New Zealand and Britain are extremely racist, right-wing and xenophobic that constantly issue ridiculous demands and make vitriolic statements. And that logo. Why the resemblance to Walls Ice Cream? It makes those 11 people look like they gave no thought to the branding of their party.

    Neither has the manifesto been very substantial. The main body of the text was 4 pages of appeal to emotion, followed by 20+ pages of biographies of its founding members. I'm looking forward to the future release of policy papers from them, but they're off on a bad start.

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